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PICCOLO SOSPIRO DI SOLLIEVO

26 Luglio 2012 - Autore: FXCM - Forex Capital Markets


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table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Tabella normale"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0cm; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} </style> <![endif]--> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">Il mercato ieri, per la prima volta da giorni, riesce a tirare un sospiro di sollievo.</span></strong></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">Non crediamo che sia cambiato il vento, siamo infatti ancora molto lontani da un avvenimento di questo tipo: pensiamo solamente che gli operatori abbiano accolto positivamente le parole del presidente della banca centrala austriaca, Ewald Nowotny, rilassandosi per mezza giornata.</span></strong></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">Ma andiamo con ordine. La mattina si &egrave; aperta con un pesante attacco alle economie pi&ugrave; a rischio, Spagna ed Italia in testa, quando abbiamo visto giungere il famoso spread Bund/Bonos oltre 620 punti (il che significa un decennale iberico al 7.5%), uno spread Bund/Btp a 545 ed al contempo titoli tedeschi (bund a 30 anni nello specifico) che sono andati a ruba pur con rendimenti mai visti dal 1994 (2.17% con una richiesta per 3.367 miliardi quando in offerta erano 3.000): fattori che da soli misurano la diffidenza degli investitori e che ogni giorno di pi&ugrave; rendono difficile la soluzione di questo rompicapo.</span></strong></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">Qualcosa &egrave; cominciato a cambiare quando si &egrave; fatta largo la notizia secondo la quale un primario esponente della Banca Centrale Europea (Nowotny appunto) ha dichiarato come vi siano argomenti a favore di una concessione della licenza bancaria al fondo salva stati Esm. Il dibattito, quindi, di un fondo con scarsa dotazione (500 miliardi di euro che i paesi europei si sono impegnati a versare nei prossimi anni) verrebbe archiviato dalla possibilit&agrave; del fondo di acquistare titoli di stato a prezzi &ldquo;vantaggiosi&rdquo; e di poter utilizzare i bond come garanzia per ottenere rifinanziamenti da parte della BCE per nuovi interventi.</span></strong></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">E cos&igrave; abbiamo avuto una chiusura positiva per le piazze europee guidate, per una volta, dall&rsquo;Italia che ha concluso la giornata con un segno positivo di 1.17 (in questo senso forse sta dando qualche frutto il divieto di Consob di vendere allo scoperto titoli bancari e assicurativi) e un indebolimento generalizzato del dollaro che ha, seppur in minima parte, ritracciato un po&rsquo; di quanto era stato mostrato i giorni scorsi.</span></strong></p> <p align="center" style="margin-right:60.0pt;text-align:center; text-indent:60.0pt;tab-stops:163.5pt 245.25pt" class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-size: 8.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;; mso-bidi-font-family:Tahoma;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">&nbsp;</span></strong></p> <br /> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-bookmark:_GoBack"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family: &quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family: Tahoma;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">EurUsd</span></strong></span></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-bookmark:_GoBack"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family: &quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family: Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight:bold;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">La moneta unica &egrave; tornata momentaneamente a salire, ieri, e possiamo notare come sia stato superato il livello di resistenza chiave posto a 1.2150, per la verit&agrave; poi adagiandosi su questo livello per alcune ore (soprattutto questa notte). La tendenza di fondo non sembra affatto variata, anche perch&eacute; il canale discendente che insiste da pi&ugrave; di un mese sembra tutt&rsquo;altro che modificato e con un obiettivo ancora posizionato al di sotto di 1.20. Rimarr&agrave; ancora cos&igrave; la tendenza almeno sino a 1.22.</span></strong></span></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-bookmark:_GoBack"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family: &quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family: Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight:bold;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">&nbsp;</span></strong></span></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-bookmark:_GoBack"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family: &quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family: Tahoma;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">UsdJpy </span></strong></span></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-bookmark:_GoBack"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family: &quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family: Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight:bold;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">Ieri si &egrave; conclusa una candela che potrebbe portare ad un relativo cambiamento. Parliamo di una doji su grafico daily (dove apertura e chiusura coincidono segnalando profonda indecisione) che in un trend forte come quello visto sino a ieri potrebbe portare ad un&rsquo;inversione. Da seguire sar&agrave; la candela di oggi e l&rsquo;escursione o meno oltre il fatidico supporto di 78.</span></strong></span></p> <p style="margin-right:60.0pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops: 399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-bookmark:_GoBack"><strong><span style="font-size: 11.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;; mso-bidi-font-family:Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight:bold; mso-bidi-font-style:italic">&nbsp;</span></strong></span></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-bookmark:_GoBack"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family: &quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family: Tahoma;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">EurJpy</span></strong></span></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-bookmark:_GoBack"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family: &quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family: Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight:bold;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">Il cambio EurJpy sembra essersi stabilizzato nei pressi di 95 figura, con un chiaro livello di resistenza statica presente a 95.20 (dove troviamo il massimo di ieri e luned&igrave;). Ovviamente utilizziamo questo livello come eventuale spunto rialzista che andrebbe in poco tempo a portare i prezzi sino al successivo 95.65.</span></strong></span></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-bookmark:_GoBack"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family: &quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family: Tahoma;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">&nbsp;</span></strong></span></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-bookmark:_GoBack"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family: &quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family: Tahoma;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">GbpUsd</span></strong></span></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-bookmark:_GoBack"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family: &quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family: Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight:bold;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">Il cable ha ampliato i range coperti ma si trova ancora in una evidente area laterale di indecisione. Una figura a rettangolo contiene piuttosto bene l&rsquo;oscillazione di una figura circa degli ultimi quattro giorni indicando in 1.5550 e 1.5460 gli unici due livelli osservati per oggi.</span></strong></span></p> <p style="margin-right:60.0pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops: 399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-bookmark:_GoBack"><strong><span style="font-size: 11.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;; mso-bidi-font-family:Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight:bold; mso-bidi-font-style:italic">&nbsp;</span></strong></span></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-bookmark:_GoBack"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family: &quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family: Tahoma;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">UsdChf</span></strong></span></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-bookmark:_GoBack"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family: &quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family: Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight:bold;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">Quella che si stava formando come divergenza su grafico con candele a quattro ore si &egrave; trasformata, ieri mattina presto, in un potentissimo segnale ribassista confermato dal calo dei prezzi di UsdChf di circa 80 pip. Ora il cambio si trova a &ldquo;galleggiare&rdquo; in area 0.99, in attesa un po&rsquo; come gli altri cambi. Attenzione alla rottura di 0.9875.</span></strong></span></p> <p style="margin-right:60.0pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops: 399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-bookmark:_GoBack"><strong><span style="font-size: 11.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;; mso-bidi-font-family:Tahoma;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">&nbsp;</span></strong></span></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-bookmark:_GoBack"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family: &quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family: Tahoma;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">AudUsd</span></strong></span></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">Indebolimento di dollari anche sul cambio AudUsd con i prezzi che rientrano velocemente all&rsquo;interno della tendenza rialzista in atto da inizio giugno, pur avendola irrimediabilmente &ldquo;sporcata&rdquo;&hellip; ora tocca a 1.0330 indicare una continuazione o meno della ripresa che da ieri notte ha mostrato una salita di 150 pip (molto interessante la tenuta della media a 200 periodi su grafico con candele H4, come visto ieri).</span></strong></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">&nbsp;</span></strong></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">&nbsp;</span></strong></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">&nbsp;</span></strong></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:399.4pt" class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">&nbsp;</span></strong></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:163.5pt" class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">Per tutti coloro che volessero partecipare alle analisi di mercato dal vivo insieme ai nostri analisti &egrave; possibile collegarsi </span></strong><a href="http://forexforums.dailyfx.com/analisi-live-del-mercato-apertura-europa-9-30-america-15-30-e-sessioni-di-trading-live/"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Tahoma;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">alle ore 9:30 per l'APERTURA DEI MERCATI EUROPEI, alle ore 15:30 per l'APERTURA DEI MERCATI AMERICANI o per l'analisi delle price action sulla pubblicazione dei DATI MACROECONOMICI pi&ugrave; importanti</span></a><strong><span style="font-size: 11.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;; mso-bidi-font-family:Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight:bold; mso-bidi-font-style:italic">. </span></strong></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:163.5pt" class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">&nbsp;</span></strong></p> <p style="margin-top:0cm;margin-right:60.0pt;margin-bottom: 0cm;margin-left:60.0pt;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-align:justify;tab-stops:163.5pt" class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Tahoma;font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">Per chi volesse diventare membro del nostro forum di analisi gratuito, &egrave; possibile </span></strong><a href="http://forexforums.dailyfx.com/forex-forum-italia/"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Tahoma;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">registrarsi qui</span></a><strong><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Arial Unicode MS&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Tahoma; font-weight:normal;mso-bidi-font-weight:bold;mso-bidi-font-style:italic">.</span></strong></p> </p>


            

Altri articoli scritti da FXCM - Forex Capital Markets

Ultimi commenti degli utenti

credo che il sollievo sia solo temporaneo...ormai lo sfacelo euro è inevitabile

26 Luglio 2012 ore 09:34:17 - Ric bari










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